Consultant to develop a new version of the Economywide Trade Simulator GETSI for Bahrain

The consultant will develop a national version of Economy wide Trade Simulator Interface for Bahrain. The role involves calibrating and customizing the global CGE model for Bahrain, preparing files for the GAMS-MIRO platform, and potentially supporting capacity-building sessions for the national team.

Responsibilities

• Aggregate the GTAP 12 database to the sectoral and geographical dimensions agreed on with the Ministry of Industry of Bahrain.
• Calibrate (statistic calibration) the global CGE model with the new global database for all countries and regions individually integrated in the database.
• Calibrate the baseline scenario (dynamic calibration) for all countries and regions individually considered in the database using latest forecasts on GDP, population, labor supply, and productivity changes for the period 2024-2035.
• Test the functioning of the dynamic model through concrete simulations.
• Assist ESCWA’s project coordinator in preparing the required files for uploading the model into GAMS-MIRO platform.
• If required, support capacity-building sessions to the national team lead by the Ministry of Industry.

Requirements

• A Master's degree in applied economics or related area is required.
• A PhD is desirable.
• All candidates must submit a copy of the required educational degree.
• Incomplete applications will not be reviewed.
• A minimum of 10 years of experience in developing and applying global dynamic CGE models using GAMS is required.
• Proven experience in working with GTAP database is required.
• Hands-on experience in calibrating and running global CGE models and proficiency in GAMS and its applications in global CGE modeling is required.
• Knowledge of MIRO interface design and best practices in user interaction for economic modeling tools is desirable.

Skills

• Applied Economics
• Dynamic CGE Modeling
• GAMS Programming
• GTAP
• CGE Model Calibration
• MIRO Interface Design
• User Interaction Design
• Capacity Building
• Economic Modelling Tools
• Economic Simulation Models

Languages

Arabic, English, French